(See table 5.) (See table 1.) An official website of the United States government The increase of 522,300 jobs also represents one of the largest employment increases of all industries. This increase is larger than the increase of $86.8 million, an annual growth rate of 0.2 percent, seen during the 20022012 period. The monetary authorities, credit intermediation, and related activities industry is expected to increase its real output by $315.9 billion, reaching more than $1.1 trillion in 2022, making this increase the fourth largest in real output during the 20122022 period. The professional and business services sector is projected to see large growth in both employment and output over the next decade. Although this increase is larger than the $91.4 billion gained during the 20022012 period, its annual rate is slower than the previous rate of 11.3 percent. (See table 2.) This industry is expected to have one of the fastest job growths among all industries, adding 38,600 jobs, at an annual rate of 2.7 percent, and reaching a level of 164,400 jobs by 2022. Occupational employment projections to 2022, Monthly Labor Review, December 2013. WorldatWork's " 2021-2022 Salary Budget Survey ," which was released in August, reported 3.3% average and 3.0% median for 2022 planned salary budget increases. The majority of output growth over the projection period is expected to come from the service-providing sectors. AGC represents more than 27,000 firms, including over 6,500 of Americas leading general contractors, and over 9,000 specialty-contracting firms. (See table 6.). For example, in the 2010-2020 projections, the number of wage and salary jobs in construction was projected to grow from 5.5 million in 2010 to almost 7.4 million in 2020, an annual rate of increase of 2.9 percent. (See tables 3 and 5.) Chart 2 shows that salary increase budgets and salary structure movements are now much higher than any time since 2008. The projections come as overall wage growth . The construction sector also is projected to see the fastest growth in real output over the 20122022 period. In addition, real output in the industry is projected to grow at an annual rate of 4.0 percent, increasing from $126.3 billion in 2012 to $187.5 billion in 2022. According to the report by consulting firm Eckler Ltd., the national average base salary increase for next year is projected at 4.2 per cent, excluding planned salary freezes, which parallels 2022 . For the latest in HR and compensation news, subscribe to our monthly e-newsletters, blogs, and white papers. Please try a different combination of filters or categories. Real output is projected to grow from $559.8 billion in 2012 to $780.3 billion in 2022, making this industry the eighth largest in terms of output growth. (See tables 4 and 6.) Consider looking at the market competitiveness of critical employees, at-risk jobs and job families, and high performers within the organization in lieu of across-the-board increases. Employment in the industry is projected to increase by 28,700, to reach 452,800 in 2022. The construction sector is a good example of the lag in employment rebound after a recession; in that sector, employment fell by 16.0 percent between 2008 and 2009 and grew by 2.0 percent between 2011 and 2012. This increase is only slightly larger than the 12,000 jobs added between 2002 and 2012. The facilities support services industry provides operating staff to perform support services, such as janitorial, maintenance, and reception services, within a clients facility. Educational services. Similarly, design/build contractors reported an average of $970 while mechanical contractors had an average of $763. Your ability to manage risk is key to your thriving in an uncertain world. Looking at 2022, greater scrutiny on the labor market will continue among both employers and employees. Updated Inflation Statistics. Financial activities. Discover our practice guidance and recommendations to tackle bullying and harassment in the workplace. Manufacturing employment saw a steady decline through 2010 and then an uptick in 2011 and 2012. Chart 1 Large increase in estimates for salary increase budgets between the April 2021 and November 2021 surveys. Figure 1. With the implementation of the Affordable Care Act, the number of people who require health insurance is expected to increase, driving demand in this industry.17 Although real output is projected to see one of the largest increases, employment is projected to grow by only 22,300, to reach just over 1.4 million in 2022. The projected decline of $3.0 billion is smaller than the decline of $12 billion, at 1.9 percent annually, seen between 2002 and 2012. It is now common to see pay increases of 4.0% or more in 2022. Hard-to-fill vacancies push median expected pay rise to new record of 5%. Projected 2022 salary increases in high-performing industries vs. industries that were harder hit by the pandemic. Macroeconomic factors, such as the labor force, gross domestic product (GDP) and its components, and labor productivity, affect the growth in total employment. For over 100 years, our cutting-edge research, data, events and executive networks have helped the world's leading companies understand the present and shape the future. Monthly, forward-looking composite of eight proven labor-market indicators. Industries with the largest wage and salary employment growth and declines, 20122022, Table 5. Output, by major industry sector, 2002, 2012, and projected 2022, Total nonfarm wage and salary employment, 19922012 and projected 2022, Table 3. Although the projected annual decline of 2.9 percent is one of the fastest among all industries, it is slower than the annual decline of 4.4 percent seen in the previous decade. Schedule time with our certified representatives to learn more about our platform for salary and cost of living analyses. The 3.4-percent annual growth rate in real output over the projection period is faster than the 1.4-percent growth rate seen in the previous period. Consequently, the need for higher network security, along with the desire of users for improved application features and performance, is expected to drive output in software publishing. While this increase almost erases the loss of $85.9 billion that occurred in the previous decade, real output in 2022 is projected to be below the level it attained in 2002. (See table 3.) While this increase in real output is larger than the $148.2 billion increase seen in the 20022012 period, it is slower than the 6.8-percent growth rate experienced during that period. (See table 3.) The November Conference Board Salary Increase Budget Survey portends a 3.9% jump in wage costs for firms in 2022, compared to 3% reported in April. Results from our latest Salary Budget Planning Survey suggest that 96% of companies globally will increase salaries. 1079797. (See tables 2 and 5.) The WorldatWork " 2021-2022 Salary Budget Survey ," which was released in August 2021, projected 3.3% average and 3.0% median for 2022 overall salary budget increases. After being a non-issue in wage determination for several decades, sizable cost of living adjustments may be making a comeback. BLS projects that GDP will grow at an annual rate of 2.6 percent between 2012 and 2022, a growth rate that is higher than the annual rate of 1.6 percent experienced during the 20022012 period,6 which included the recession that ended in June 2009. Activate your membership first to unlock discounts. Companies gave employees an average pay increase of 2.8% in 2021. Need compensation planning data in Canada? The expected rise in personal consumption expenditures is a major factor contributing to these increases. Pandemic recovery is a key driver of projected job growth in some sectors. With a projected increase of 456,000 jobs and an annual growth rate of 3.5 percent, employment in this industry is one of the largest and fastest growing among all industries. (See tables 3 and 4.) This increase continues the trend seen in the 20022012 period, in which the share of total nominal output attributed to the service-providing sectors grew by 1 percentage point. For perspective, last year just under 10 percent of organizations planned a higher salary budget increase than the prior year. The November Salary Increase Budget Survey shows that almost half of respondents (46%) said that the increase in wages of new hires played a role in salary increase budget estimates for 2022. ), Monetary authorities, credit intermediation, and related activities, Petroleum and coal products manufacturing, General state and local government except compensation and consumption of fixed capital, The individual and family services industry, which provides a variety of social services to children, elderly people, people with disabilities, and others, is projected to have the second-fastest growth in employment and the ninth-largest increase in employment. Before sharing sensitive information, Monthly Labor Review, This increase is smaller than the increase seen in the previous decade, in which the sector added 288,200 jobs, at an annual rate of 4.6 percent. The median expected basic pay increase has risen from 4% to 5%, the highest since the time series started in 2012. Average 2021 actual total salary increase budgets jumped from 2.6 percent in the April 2021 survey to 3.0 percent in the November 2021 survey. The annual growth rate of 4.7 percent, which is the same as that seen between 2002 and 2012, makes this industry the fourth fastest growing in terms of output over the projection period. (See table 1.) Vehicle Allowance and Practices Survey Results Unveiled According to the latest Contractor Compensation Quarterly (CCQ) published by PAS, Inc., construction executive staff wage increases came in at 5.5% for 2022 and are also projected to rise by an average 4.7% by 2023 year-end. Growth in shale gas production, in which new technologies such as horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing have made production more efficient, is expected to continue over the next decade.27 The increased demand for oil and gas is expected to spur further exploration for oil and gas reserves. The WorldatWork 2021-2022 Salary Budget Survey, which was released in August 2021, projected 3.3% average and 3.0% median for 2022 overall salary budget increases. In that case, if an increase at that time is warranted, I would do everything I could to find a way to deliver an increase, even if it can only be a modest one. For example, in the 20102020 projections, the number of wage and salary jobs in construction was projected to grow from 5.5 million in 2010 to almost 7.4 million in 2020, an annual rate of increase of 2.9 percent.10 In the 20122022 projections, the number of construction jobs is expected to increase from 5.6 million in 2012 to 7.3 million in 2022, an annual rate of increase of 2.6 percent, which is lower than the projected rate for 20102020. 3 Total employment is the summation of the employment figures among nonagricultural wage and salary workers; agriculture, forestry, fishing, and hunting workers; and self-employed and unpaid family workers. This content is exclusively for WorldatWork members. Contact our, If you are a current Affiliate member, you may be eligible to receive additional discount on your WorldatWork membership renewal. (See tables 3 and 4.) Logging workers are excluded. The 3.2-percent annual growth rate projected for the 20122022 period also is one of the fastest among all industries, but slightly slower than the 3.5-percent annual growth rate experienced during the 20022012 period. These workers are likely included in the Great Resignation and are seeking higher compensation and improved employee benefits as regular employees.The pandemic certainly gave employees a reason to look at their work-life balance. | US consumers thoughts on the economy, jobs, finances and more. This growth rate is almost double the 1.2-percent growth rate in employment seen during the 20022012 period. Software as a Service is expected to become more entrenched within the software publishing business model, increasing consumer and business reliance on software applications accessed on the Internet, as well as remote, rather than local, storage. As with employment, construction output is expected to show a significant rebound in the upcoming decade, as the sector recovers from the latest recession. The increase in residential investment and nonresidential structures investment during the 20122022 period is expected to spur growth in employment and output in the construction sector. (See table 5.) (See table 1.) (See table 3.) 5 Throughout this article, unless otherwise noted, output refers to real output in chain-weighted 2005 dollars. Over the last few projection cycles, apparel manufacturing and leather and allied product manufacturing have consistently been among the industries with the largest declines in employment and output. (See tables 5 and 6.). We are continually contacted by client companies and others to discuss the difficulties they experience in finding and retaining talent in virtually every market sector around the world. (See table 2.) (See table 1.). One common theme to remember: Even with an increased budget, it is important to segment your workforce as you consider your goals. Employment is projected to fall by 65,200, 0.2 percent annually, to reach a level of just over 2.6 million in 2022. Labour Market Outlook: Spring 2022. Prioritizing and segmenting increases is vital to ensure an appropriate return on investment. Real output is expected to increase by 3.0 percent annually, to reach a level of $249.1 billion in 2022, up from $184.7 billion in 2012. It supports a business by not adding to ongoing fixed compensation expenses. Learn more about the people profession its wide-ranging roles and expertise, the standards we uphold, and the impact our profession makes. Learn how to manage redundancies effectively in your organisation. The loss of 549,500 jobs is substantially smaller than the loss of more than 3.3 million jobs during the 20022012 period. Real output in this industry is expected to increase from $117.8 billion in 2012 to $205.6 billion in 2022, an increase of $87.8 billion. This increase is larger and faster than the increase of $57.3 billion, at 2.0 percent annually, experienced during the 20022012 period. The projected job growth in the sector is driven by increases in both state and local educational services, with almost half of the growth coming from the local government educational services industry. Growth in wages for new hires and accelerating inflation are the main causes of the jump in salary increase budgets. With the construction industry recovering, forestry is one of the industries within the agriculture, forestry, fishing, and hunting sector that is expected to see an increase in both employment and output. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Although the sector is projected to add a large number of jobs between 2012 and 2022, it is not expected to reach the peak level of almost 7.7 million jobs seen in 2006. Julie Murphy Amazonhas also increased the maximum base pay from $160,000 to $350,000 for corporate and tech employees to support in recruiting and retaining top talent. Real output in the motor vehicle parts manufacturing industry is projected to see an increase of $83.9 billion, to reach $283.0 billion in 2022. The large and rapid employment growth over the projection period contrasts with the employment decline of the previous decade, in which the sector lost almost 1.1 million jobs, at an annual rate of 1.7 percent. Evaluate IT position salaries with this in-depth survey. Faster growth in wages for new hires and accelerating inflation are the main causes of the jump in salary increase budgets in recent months. The maximum earnings subject to Social Security taxes in 2023 is $160,200, up from $147,000 in 2022. Businesses growing need of consulting services to keep pace with the latest technology, government regulations, and management and production techniques is expected to drive demand for workers in this industry. This month, WorldatWorks Salary Budget Follow-up Pulse Poll collected more than 250 responses from compensation professionals representing organizations of different sizes and across multiple industries, indicating an average 2022 merit increase of 3.7% and 3.5% median, significantly above predictions just six months ago. Also, make sure you take a Total Rewards perspective. Real output in the industry is expected to rise by $90.4 billion, an annual rate of increase of 2.5 percent, to reach $410.9 billion in 2022. (See table 4.) Organizations in France, Russia, India and South Korea are all forecasting . The projected growth rate of 4.7 percent is faster than the 4.0-percent-per-year increase experienced during the 20022012 period. If you are a current Affiliate member, you may be eligible to receive additional discount on your WorldatWork membership. With a growing population and an increasing number of Environmental Protection Agency regulations, as well as state regulations, the demand for workers in this industry is expected to rise. Early projections for 2023 indicate that U.S. salary increase budgets for 2023 could average 4.1%. The U.S. economy to 2022: settling into a new normal, Monthly Labor Review, December 2013. | More from Gad Levanon, PhD, 0 Comment Check out what your job is worth or what it would cost you to relocate, Get an in-depth analysis of what your job is worth, Find out about salaries and what different jobs are worth, Compare the cost of living in locations around the world, Check out the cost of living in specific cities, states, or countries. 2022 will see salaries and other aspects of life return to some sense of normality and more companies implementing regular salary reviews and higher increases than in 2021. Although this job growth is larger than the 518,800 jobs added from 2002 to 2012, it is slower than the 5.8-percent-per-year growth experienced between 2002 and 2012. WorldatWork projected a national total salary budget increase average at 3.3% for 2022, which the firm's director of Total Rewards content, Alicia Scott-Wears, said "signified not only . The construction sectors rebound, which is expected to increase demand for nonmetallic minerals such as granite, gravel, and other materials used in residential and nonresidential construction, will benefit employment and output in the nonmetallic mineral mining and quarrying industry. For an update on salary increase budget forecasts, see the December 2021 SHRM Online article Revised 2022 Salary Increase Budgets Head . The industry is expected to add 711,500 jobs, at an annual rate of 4.4 percent, to reach a level of just over 2.0 million jobs in 2022. This increase is almost the same as the increase of $30.6 billion, an annual rate of increase of 2.2 percent, experienced during the 20022012 period. Please log into your account now to access this content. Among all major sectors, the health care and social assistance sector is projected to experience the largest and fastest employment gains. For 2022, 12 percent of organizations intend to give 4-5 percent increases, versus just 7-8 percent of organizations in 2021. Simply revisit the survey and click the submit button to confirm previously entered . Real output is projected to grow from $317.5 billion in 2012 to $397.1 billion in 2022, an increase of $79.6 billion. With your top management support, consider the overall 2022 adjusted salary increase budget at 4.0% or above, depending on your industry and competitive requirements. Remote work opportunities give employees the chance to improve their personal and familys work-life balance and even relocate to more affordable and desirable locations.Compensation in a Challenging Labor Market and Inflationary Environment. (See figure 3.) In fact, most markets pushed their original forecasts to budgets that are higher than have been seen in nearly 20 years. Track the state of the business cycle for 12 global economies across Asia and Europe. The annual growth rate of 5.7 percent makes software publishers the second-fastest-growing industry in terms of real output. Can the goals and objectives of your 2022 incentive plan document be updated to better meet the latest goals and objectives of 2022? January 12, 2022. This difference is due to the sectors large employment base. Sources:1Bureau of Labor Statistics212-Month Projection International Monetary Fund World Economic Outlook3ERI Economic Research Institute (projected increase budget)4Mercer Pulse Survey (total increases including 0%)5Willis Towers Watson (actual average increase)6Pearl Meyer Poll (implemented total base salary increases). Although 58 of the 77 detailed industries within this sector are projected to see employment declines over the projection period, several manufacturing industries are expected to experience some growth in the next decade. (See tables 3, 4, 5, and 6.) ), Because economic growth during the present recovery has remained relatively slow compared with that of past recoveries, the expectations about the path of future GDP growth and the labor force participation rate have shifted. This increase in output contrasts with the $182.9 million lost during the previous decade. For the latest in HR and compensation news, subscribe to our monthly e-newsletters, blogs, and white papers. Other Patents Pending. These sectors also are expected to account for more than half of the job gains within the service-providing sectors, as well as the entire economy. The decrease in employment at a 1.2-percent annual rate during the projection period also is faster than the annual decrease of 0.9 percent experienced during the 20022012 period. This industry also is projected to see one of the largest increases in employment over the projection period, adding 186,600 jobs, an annual growth rate of 2.1 percent, to reach a level of just over 1.0 million jobs in 2022. The annual rate of increase of 2.4 percent also is faster than the 0.2-percent annual increase experienced during the 20022012 period.
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